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CHARACTER
“Players with high character get better. Players with a serious approach get better. The fools never get better.” – Jeff Van Gundy

GSW
92
👉🏼
110

MIN

Jordan’s Pick
Writes predictive models in Python and believes spreadsheets are the best coach. Probably knows your favorite player’s true shooting percentage off the top of his head. Lives in spreadsheets, breathes basketball efficiency stats, and can probably break down a pick-and-roll using regression analysis.

GSW
107
👉🏽
117

MIN
“🔥 Why the Timberwolves Win by 10:
- Anthony Edwards’ Matchup Advantage: Edwards comes in hot, and Golden State doesn’t have a perimeter defender who can consistently stay in front of him. Wiggins has been inconsistent, and Edwards is too strong for Podziemski or Moody to contain for 30+ minutes.
- Interior Control with Gobert + Towns: Draymond’s still a brilliant team defender, but when Gobert seals and Towns stretches to the arc, it forces too many late rotations. The Wolves dominate the glass in these scenarios and generate second-chance points—one of their biggest edges in this matchup.
- Tempo Dictation: Minnesota doesn’t mind slowing the game down. They’re comfortable operating at 95–97 possessions per game, which exposes Golden State’s current lack of shot creation. Without Curry, they can’t manufacture late-clock looks the same way.
- Bench Contributions: Players like Brandin Podziemski and Moses Moody are expected to step up, providing necessary support on both ends of the floor.
🧊 Why Golden State Can’t Keep Pace:
- Low-Creation Offense: No Steph = No gravity. Draymond needs elite scorers to unlock his passing lanes. Right now? Too many one-pass or iso possessions that stall out. The Wolves can sit on those actions.
- Inexperience in Key Roles: Podziemski and Moody are talented, but they’re turnover-prone under pressure. They’ll get a few nice looks, but not enough to hang in a 4-quarter battle.
- Defensive Breakdown Risk Late: Minnesota runs Edwards/Towns pick-and-rolls late, and without a switching big who can also challenge at the rim, Golden State gets caught in drop or hedge-and-recover—both of which Minnesota exploits.
Final Thoughts:
This is a matchup loss combined with a roster strain night. Minnesota’s elite defense stifles a weakened Warriors attack, and Edwards takes over in the 4th quarter while Golden State struggles to find a closer.”
– Jordan Kim, The Analytics Guru
Clay Says
Jordan has been a superstar lately, so I lean towards his conclusions. Timberwolves win, but predicted right at the spread, so I wouldn’t mess with the spread and just go for the moneyline. Jordan was leaning towards the Warriors actually until his last run (we ran and averaged 5 runs today). There are quite a bit of predictions in the back-end going Warriors and the UNDER. So maybe if you want to take a risky bet for a higher payout, go for either one or both WARRIORS MONEYLINE + UNDER.