Clay's Almanac

Vince Chambers Tol Warning

PHX 81.2–85.3 DAL 82.7–87.9 Overlap 2.66 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.3) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.5) — by 1.8 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 81.5–85.2 DAL 83.1–87.5 Overlap 2.12 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.3) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.5) — by 1.8 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 81.9–85.1 DAL 83.4–87.2 Overlap 1.69 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.3) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.5) — by 1.8 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.2–85.0 DAL 83.6–87.0 Overlap 1.39 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.3) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.5) — by 1.8 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.4–84.8 DAL 83.8–86.8 Overlap 1.01 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.3) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.5) — by 1.8 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

Show the math

Model: Vince Chambers (#1)
t-statistic: -9.89
p-value: 2.20e-18

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Reg

PHX 81.0–85.6 DAL 82.3–88.7 Overlap 3.3 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.5) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.3) — by 2.2 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 81.4–85.2 DAL 82.8–88.2 Overlap 2.42 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.5) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.3) — by 2.2 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 81.6–85.0 DAL 83.1–87.8 Overlap 1.84 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.5) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.3) — by 2.2 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 81.8–84.8 DAL 83.4–87.6 Overlap 1.4 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.5) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.3) — by 2.2 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 81.9–84.6 DAL 83.6–87.3 Overlap 1.03 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.5) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.3) — by 2.2 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

Show the math

Model: Reg (#2)
t-statistic: -11.50
p-value: 2.55e-22

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Dr. Wallace

PHX 81.3–85.9 DAL 82.6–87.6 Overlap 3.32 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.1) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.6) — by 1.5 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 81.7–85.6 DAL 83.0–87.2 Overlap 2.55 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.1) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.6) — by 1.5 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 81.9–85.3 DAL 83.3–86.9 Overlap 2.05 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.1) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.6) — by 1.5 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.1–85.1 DAL 83.5–86.7 Overlap 1.66 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.1) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.6) — by 1.5 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.3–85.0 DAL 83.6–86.6 Overlap 1.34 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.1) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.6) — by 1.5 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

Show the math

Model: Dr. Wallace (#3)
t-statistic: -9.01
p-value: 5.31e-16

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Kevin Tol Warning

PHX 81.3–86.1 DAL 82.8–87.4 Overlap 3.34 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.2) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.4 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 81.7–85.8 DAL 83.5–87.2 Overlap 2.3 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.2) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.4 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.0–85.5 DAL 83.8–86.6 Overlap 1.75 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.2) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.4 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.2–85.3 DAL 83.8–86.5 Overlap 1.49 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.2) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.4 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.3–85.2 DAL 84.0–86.4 Overlap 1.2 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.2) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.4 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

Show the math

Model: Kevin (#4)
t-statistic: -8.12
p-value: 1.17e-13

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Dr. Lila Shah

PHX 81.4–86.1 DAL 81.3–86.4 Overlap 4.64 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 83.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by under a point. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 81.8–85.7 DAL 81.7–86.0 Overlap 3.89 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 83.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by under a point. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 82.0–85.4 DAL 82.0–85.8 Overlap 3.41 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 83.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by under a point. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 82.2–85.3 DAL 82.2–85.6 Overlap 3.03 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 83.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by under a point. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 82.4–85.1 DAL 82.4–85.4 Overlap 2.72 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 83.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by under a point. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

Show the math

Model: Dr. Lila Shah (#5)
t-statistic: -0.87
p-value: 3.84e-01

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Ice

PHX 81.2–86.4 DAL 82.2–87.7 Overlap 4.23 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.8) — by 1.1 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 81.6–86.0 DAL 82.6–87.2 Overlap 3.37 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.8) — by 1.1 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 81.9–85.7 DAL 82.9–87.0 Overlap 2.81 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.8) — by 1.1 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.1–85.5 DAL 83.2–86.7 Overlap 2.38 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.8) — by 1.1 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.3–85.4 DAL 83.3–86.5 Overlap 2.02 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.8) — by 1.1 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

Show the math

Model: Ice (#6)
t-statistic: -6.14
p-value: 6.03e-09

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Jamal

PHX 81.6–86.1 DAL 81.8–87.5 Overlap 4.35 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.6) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.8) — by under a point. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 81.9–85.7 DAL 82.2–87.1 Overlap 3.52 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.6) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.8) — by under a point. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 82.2–85.5 DAL 82.5–86.8 Overlap 2.98 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.6) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.8) — by under a point. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.4–85.3 DAL 82.8–86.5 Overlap 2.57 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.6) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.8) — by under a point. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.5–85.2 DAL 83.0–86.3 Overlap 2.22 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.6) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.8) — by under a point. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

Show the math

Model: Jamal (#7)
t-statistic: -4.51
p-value: 1.28e-05

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Jordan

PHX 81.1–86.5 DAL 82.2–87.9 Overlap 4.3 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.1) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.8) — by 1.3 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 81.6–86.1 DAL 82.6–87.5 Overlap 3.4 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.1) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.8) — by 1.3 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 81.8–85.8 DAL 82.9–87.2 Overlap 2.82 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.1) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.8) — by 1.3 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.1–85.6 DAL 83.2–86.9 Overlap 2.38 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.1) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.8) — by 1.3 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.2–85.4 DAL 83.4–86.7 Overlap 2.01 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.1) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.8) — by 1.3 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

Show the math

Model: Jordan (#8)
t-statistic: -6.58
p-value: 6.09e-10

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Darren "Dimes" Lin Tol Warning

PHX 82.0–86.0 DAL 83.3–87.4 Overlap 2.7 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.1) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.4 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.2–85.6 DAL 83.4–87.0 Overlap 2.2 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.1) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.4 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.4–85.3 DAL 83.6–86.8 Overlap 1.8 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.1) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.4 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.4–85.3 DAL 83.6–86.7 Overlap 1.64 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.1) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.4 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.5–85.2 DAL 83.7–86.7 Overlap 1.44 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 85.1) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.4 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

Show the math

Model: Darren "Dimes" Lin (#9)
t-statistic: -7.58
p-value: 2.52e-12

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Maya Jefferson

PHX 81.4–85.9 DAL 82.3–87.5 Overlap 3.64 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.2 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 81.8–85.6 DAL 82.7–87.1 Overlap 2.86 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.2 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.0–85.3 DAL 83.0–86.8 Overlap 2.35 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.2 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.2–85.1 DAL 83.2–86.6 Overlap 1.95 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.2 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.4–85.0 DAL 83.4–86.5 Overlap 1.63 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.2 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

Show the math

Model: Maya Jefferson (#10)
t-statistic: -7.38
p-value: 8.20e-12

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Lexi

PHX 81.2–86.2 DAL 81.7–88.1 Overlap 4.51 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.2 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 81.6–85.8 DAL 82.2–87.6 Overlap 3.6 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.2 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 81.9–85.5 DAL 82.5–87.3 Overlap 3.0 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.2 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 82.1–85.3 DAL 82.8–87.0 Overlap 2.54 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.2 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 82.3–85.2 DAL 83.0–86.8 Overlap 2.16 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.9) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.7) — by 1.2 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

Show the math

Model: Lexi (#11)
t-statistic: -6.02
p-value: 1.24e-08

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Coach Sarah Watanabe

PHX 80.8–85.8 DAL 82.6–86.7 Overlap 3.2 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.6) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.3) — by 1.3 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

PHX 81.2–85.4 DAL 82.9–86.3 Overlap 2.47 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.6) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.3) — by 1.3 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 81.5–85.1 DAL 83.1–86.1 Overlap 2.0 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.6) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.3) — by 1.3 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 81.7–84.9 DAL 83.3–86.0 Overlap 1.63 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.6) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.3) — by 1.3 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

PHX 81.8–84.7 DAL 83.4–85.8 Overlap 1.33 pts Actual: PHX 70, DAL 85

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans Dallas Wings (avg. 84.6) over Phoenix Mercury (avg. 83.3) — by 1.3 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

Show the math

Model: Coach Sarah Watanabe (#12)
t-statistic: -8.53
p-value: 1.12e-14

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Level	PHX range	DAL range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	81.2–85.3	82.7–87.9	2.66 pts	Yes	No
90%	81.5–85.2	83.1–87.5	2.12 pts	Yes	No
85%	81.9–85.1	83.4–87.2	1.69 pts	Yes	No
80%	82.2–85.0	83.6–87.0	1.39 pts	Yes	No
75%	82.4–84.8	83.8–86.8	1.01 pts	Yes	No

Level	PHX range	DAL range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	81.3–86.1	82.8–87.4	3.34 pts	Yes	No
90%	81.7–85.8	83.5–87.2	2.3 pts	Yes	No
85%	82.0–85.5	83.8–86.6	1.75 pts	Yes	No
80%	82.2–85.3	83.8–86.5	1.49 pts	Yes	No
75%	82.3–85.2	84.0–86.4	1.2 pts	Yes	No

Level	PHX range	DAL range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	82.0–86.0	83.3–87.4	2.7 pts	Yes	No
90%	82.2–85.6	83.4–87.0	2.2 pts	Yes	No
85%	82.4–85.3	83.6–86.8	1.8 pts	Yes	No
80%	82.4–85.3	83.6–86.7	1.64 pts	Yes	No
75%	82.5–85.2	83.7–86.7	1.44 pts	Yes	No

Level	PHX range	DAL range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	81.0–85.6	82.3–88.7	3.3 pts	—	No
90%	81.4–85.2	82.8–88.2	2.42 pts	—	No
85%	81.6–85.0	83.1–87.8	1.84 pts	—	No
80%	81.8–84.8	83.4–87.6	1.4 pts	—	No
75%	81.9–84.6	83.6–87.3	1.03 pts	—	No

Level	PHX range	DAL range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	81.3–85.9	82.6–87.6	3.32 pts	—	No
90%	81.7–85.6	83.0–87.2	2.55 pts	—	No
85%	81.9–85.3	83.3–86.9	2.05 pts	—	No
80%	82.1–85.1	83.5–86.7	1.66 pts	—	No
75%	82.3–85.0	83.6–86.6	1.34 pts	—	No

Level	PHX range	DAL range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	81.4–86.1	81.3–86.4	4.64 pts	—	No
90%	81.8–85.7	81.7–86.0	3.89 pts	—	No
85%	82.0–85.4	82.0–85.8	3.41 pts	—	No
80%	82.2–85.3	82.2–85.6	3.03 pts	—	No
75%	82.4–85.1	82.4–85.4	2.72 pts	—	No

Level	PHX range	DAL range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	81.2–86.4	82.2–87.7	4.23 pts	—	No
90%	81.6–86.0	82.6–87.2	3.37 pts	—	No
85%	81.9–85.7	82.9–87.0	2.81 pts	—	No
80%	82.1–85.5	83.2–86.7	2.38 pts	—	No
75%	82.3–85.4	83.3–86.5	2.02 pts	—	No

Level	PHX range	DAL range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	81.6–86.1	81.8–87.5	4.35 pts	—	No
90%	81.9–85.7	82.2–87.1	3.52 pts	—	No
85%	82.2–85.5	82.5–86.8	2.98 pts	—	No
80%	82.4–85.3	82.8–86.5	2.57 pts	—	No
75%	82.5–85.2	83.0–86.3	2.22 pts	—	No

Level	PHX range	DAL range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	81.1–86.5	82.2–87.9	4.3 pts	—	No
90%	81.6–86.1	82.6–87.5	3.4 pts	—	No
85%	81.8–85.8	82.9–87.2	2.82 pts	—	No
80%	82.1–85.6	83.2–86.9	2.38 pts	—	No
75%	82.2–85.4	83.4–86.7	2.01 pts	—	No

Level	PHX range	DAL range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	81.4–85.9	82.3–87.5	3.64 pts	—	No
90%	81.8–85.6	82.7–87.1	2.86 pts	—	No
85%	82.0–85.3	83.0–86.8	2.35 pts	—	No
80%	82.2–85.1	83.2–86.6	1.95 pts	—	No
75%	82.4–85.0	83.4–86.5	1.63 pts	—	No

Level	PHX range	DAL range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	81.2–86.2	81.7–88.1	4.51 pts	—	No
90%	81.6–85.8	82.2–87.6	3.6 pts	—	No
85%	81.9–85.5	82.5–87.3	3.0 pts	—	No
80%	82.1–85.3	82.8–87.0	2.54 pts	—	No
75%	82.3–85.2	83.0–86.8	2.16 pts	—	No

Level	PHX range	DAL range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	80.8–85.8	82.6–86.7	3.2 pts	—	No
90%	81.2–85.4	82.9–86.3	2.47 pts	—	No
85%	81.5–85.1	83.1–86.1	2.0 pts	—	No
80%	81.7–84.9	83.3–86.0	1.63 pts	—	No
75%	81.8–84.7	83.4–85.8	1.33 pts	—	No

Phoenix Mercury at Dallas Wings