Clay's Almanac

Vince Chambers

NY 86.9–93.3 CON 82.7–87.8 Overlap 0.9 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 89.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 84.6) — by 5.0 points. The ranges barely touch.

NY 87.2–92.7 CON 82.7–87.7 Overlap 0.42 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 89.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 84.6) — by 5.0 points. The ranges barely touch.

NY 87.6–92.4 CON 82.9–87.0 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 89.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 84.6) — by 5.0 points. The 85% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

NY 87.7–92.0 CON 83.0–87.0 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 89.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 84.6) — by 5.0 points. The 80% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

NY 87.8–91.5 CON 83.0–86.4 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 89.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 84.6) — by 5.0 points. The 75% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

Show the math

Model: Vince Chambers (#1)
t-statistic: 23.87
p-value: 1.15e-61

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Reg

NY 84.8–93.7 CON 78.3–87.9 Overlap 3.12 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 89.3) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 84.1) — by 5.2 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

NY 85.5–93.0 CON 79.2–87.4 Overlap 1.88 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 89.3) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 84.1) — by 5.2 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 86.0–92.5 CON 79.7–87.1 Overlap 1.16 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 89.3) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 84.1) — by 5.2 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 86.3–92.2 CON 80.5–86.5 Overlap 0.22 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 89.3) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 84.1) — by 5.2 points. The ranges barely touch.

NY 86.6–91.9 CON 81.0–86.4 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 89.3) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 84.1) — by 5.2 points. The 75% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

Show the math

Model: Reg (#2)
t-statistic: 16.69
p-value: 5.82e-40

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Dr. Wallace

NY 84.2–93.0 CON 78.7–88.0 Overlap 3.83 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 88.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 83.9) — by 4.7 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

NY 84.9–92.3 CON 79.3–87.3 Overlap 2.44 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 88.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 83.9) — by 4.7 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 85.3–91.8 CON 79.4–87.1 Overlap 1.79 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 88.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 83.9) — by 4.7 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 85.7–91.5 CON 79.8–86.8 Overlap 1.14 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 88.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 83.9) — by 4.7 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 86.0–91.2 CON 80.3–86.6 Overlap 0.64 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 88.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 83.9) — by 4.7 points. The ranges barely touch.

Show the math

Model: Dr. Wallace (#3)
t-statistic: 14.86
p-value: 4.56e-34

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Kevin

NY 85.3–93.1 CON 77.9–87.1 Overlap 1.84 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 88.3) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 82.4) — by 5.9 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 85.5–91.8 CON 78.4–86.8 Overlap 1.37 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 88.3) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 82.4) — by 5.9 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 85.7–91.0 CON 78.8–86.1 Overlap 0.42 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 88.3) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 82.4) — by 5.9 points. The ranges barely touch.

NY 85.9–90.8 CON 79.1–85.7 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 88.3) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 82.4) — by 5.9 points. The 80% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

NY 86.0–90.6 CON 79.2–85.4 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 88.3) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 82.4) — by 5.9 points. The 75% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

Show the math

Model: Kevin (#4)
t-statistic: 17.80
p-value: 7.61e-43

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Dr. Lila Shah

NY 82.7–91.0 CON 78.2–85.9 Overlap 3.15 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 86.9) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.3) — by 5.5 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

NY 83.4–90.3 CON 78.4–85.3 Overlap 1.93 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 86.9) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.3) — by 5.5 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 83.8–89.9 CON 78.6–84.6 Overlap 0.78 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 86.9) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.3) — by 5.5 points. The ranges barely touch.

NY 84.2–89.5 CON 78.8–84.3 Overlap 0.18 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 86.9) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.3) — by 5.5 points. The ranges barely touch.

NY 84.4–89.3 CON 79.0–84.1 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 86.9) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.3) — by 5.5 points. The 75% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

Show the math

Model: Dr. Lila Shah (#5)
t-statistic: 19.53
p-value: 1.18e-48

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Ice

NY 83.2–91.0 CON 78.0–86.3 Overlap 3.08 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.1) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.4) — by 5.7 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

NY 83.8–90.4 CON 78.4–85.7 Overlap 1.83 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.1) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.4) — by 5.7 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 84.3–90.0 CON 78.5–85.3 Overlap 1.09 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.1) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.4) — by 5.7 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 84.6–89.7 CON 78.7–85.0 Overlap 0.41 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.1) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.4) — by 5.7 points. The ranges barely touch.

NY 84.8–89.4 CON 78.8–84.2 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.1) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.4) — by 5.7 points. The 75% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

Show the math

Model: Ice (#6)
t-statistic: 19.37
p-value: 7.70e-47

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Jamal

NY 84.4–90.5 CON 77.9–86.2 Overlap 1.83 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.0) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.2) — by 5.8 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 84.6–90.3 CON 78.2–85.3 Overlap 0.69 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.0) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.2) — by 5.8 points. The ranges barely touch.

NY 84.9–89.9 CON 78.6–84.7 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.0) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.2) — by 5.8 points. The 85% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

NY 85.0–89.5 CON 78.8–84.3 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.0) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.2) — by 5.8 points. The 80% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

NY 85.2–89.2 CON 79.1–84.2 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.0) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.2) — by 5.8 points. The 75% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

Show the math

Model: Jamal (#7)
t-statistic: 20.62
p-value: 4.95e-51

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Jordan

NY 83.6–90.7 CON 78.0–85.5 Overlap 1.89 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 86.8) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 80.9) — by 6.0 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 84.1–90.3 CON 78.4–85.2 Overlap 1.06 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 86.8) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 80.9) — by 6.0 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 84.6–89.4 CON 78.5–84.5 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 86.8) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 80.9) — by 6.0 points. The 85% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

NY 85.0–89.1 CON 78.6–84.4 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 86.8) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 80.9) — by 6.0 points. The 80% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

NY 85.3–88.8 CON 78.8–84.3 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 86.8) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 80.9) — by 6.0 points. The 75% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

Show the math

Model: Jordan (#8)
t-statistic: 22.84
p-value: 3.74e-58

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Darren "Dimes" Lin

NY 84.4–91.1 CON 78.1–86.5 Overlap 2.05 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.0) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.4) — by 5.7 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 84.6–90.4 CON 78.3–85.5 Overlap 0.91 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.0) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.4) — by 5.7 points. The ranges barely touch.

NY 84.9–90.1 CON 78.4–85.2 Overlap 0.27 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.0) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.4) — by 5.7 points. The ranges barely touch.

NY 85.1–89.5 CON 78.7–84.8 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.0) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.4) — by 5.7 points. The 80% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

NY 85.2–89.3 CON 78.9–84.4 No overlap Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.0) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.4) — by 5.7 points. The 75% ranges don't overlap at all — a confident model.

Show the math

Model: Darren "Dimes" Lin (#9)
t-statistic: 19.04
p-value: 2.60e-46

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Maya Jefferson

NY 83.8–92.2 CON 78.4–87.5 Overlap 3.61 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.2) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.9) — by 5.3 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

NY 84.0–91.9 CON 78.5–87.0 Overlap 3.0 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.2) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.9) — by 5.3 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

NY 84.4–91.5 CON 78.6–86.4 Overlap 1.99 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.2) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.9) — by 5.3 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 84.6–91.2 CON 78.8–85.9 Overlap 1.31 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.2) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.9) — by 5.3 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 84.7–90.3 CON 79.0–85.6 Overlap 0.97 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.2) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 81.9) — by 5.3 points. The ranges barely touch.

Show the math

Model: Maya Jefferson (#10)
t-statistic: 15.15
p-value: 2.02e-35

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Lexi

NY 82.6–92.5 CON 78.3–87.2 Overlap 4.61 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 82.2) — by 5.4 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

NY 83.4–91.7 CON 78.7–86.4 Overlap 3.0 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 82.2) — by 5.4 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

NY 83.9–91.2 CON 79.0–85.6 Overlap 1.7 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 82.2) — by 5.4 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 84.3–90.8 CON 79.2–85.3 Overlap 0.93 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 82.2) — by 5.4 points. The ranges barely touch.

NY 84.7–90.5 CON 79.3–85.1 Overlap 0.41 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 87.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 82.2) — by 5.4 points. The ranges barely touch.

Show the math

Model: Lexi (#11)
t-statistic: 16.31
p-value: 5.30e-39

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Coach Sarah Watanabe

NY 84.2–93.3 CON 78.9–89.1 Overlap 4.89 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 95 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 88.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 83.2) — by 5.3 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

NY 84.7–92.7 CON 79.0–88.3 Overlap 3.64 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 90 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 88.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 83.2) — by 5.3 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

NY 84.8–92.5 CON 79.2–88.1 Overlap 3.29 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 85 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 88.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 83.2) — by 5.3 points. The ranges overlap almost entirely, so one game could go either way.

NY 84.8–91.6 CON 79.5–87.4 Overlap 2.55 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 80 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 88.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 83.2) — by 5.3 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

NY 85.0–91.4 CON 79.6–86.9 Overlap 1.88 pts Actual: NY 6, CON 13

In 75 out of 100 simulated runs, leans New York Liberty (avg. 88.6) over Connecticut Sun (avg. 83.2) — by 5.3 points. The ranges overlap some — there's real uncertainty here.

Show the math

Model: Coach Sarah Watanabe (#12)
t-statistic: 13.65
p-value: 1.18e-30

A low p-value means the two teams' average scores are statistically distinguishable — even when their ranges above overlap. Overlap describes where the final score could land; the test above is about whether the two averages differ. They are different claims, and either can hold without the other.

Level	NY range	CON range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	86.9–93.3	82.7–87.8	0.9 pts	—	No
90%	87.2–92.7	82.7–87.7	0.42 pts	—	No
85%	87.6–92.4	82.9–87.0	— pts	—	No
80%	87.7–92.0	83.0–87.0	— pts	—	No
75%	87.8–91.5	83.0–86.4	— pts	—	No

Level	NY range	CON range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	84.8–93.7	78.3–87.9	3.12 pts	—	No
90%	85.5–93.0	79.2–87.4	1.88 pts	—	No
85%	86.0–92.5	79.7–87.1	1.16 pts	—	No
80%	86.3–92.2	80.5–86.5	0.22 pts	—	No
75%	86.6–91.9	81.0–86.4	— pts	—	No

Level	NY range	CON range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	84.2–93.0	78.7–88.0	3.83 pts	—	No
90%	84.9–92.3	79.3–87.3	2.44 pts	—	No
85%	85.3–91.8	79.4–87.1	1.79 pts	—	No
80%	85.7–91.5	79.8–86.8	1.14 pts	—	No
75%	86.0–91.2	80.3–86.6	0.64 pts	—	No

Level	NY range	CON range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	85.3–93.1	77.9–87.1	1.84 pts	—	No
90%	85.5–91.8	78.4–86.8	1.37 pts	—	No
85%	85.7–91.0	78.8–86.1	0.42 pts	—	No
80%	85.9–90.8	79.1–85.7	— pts	—	No
75%	86.0–90.6	79.2–85.4	— pts	—	No

Level	NY range	CON range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	82.7–91.0	78.2–85.9	3.15 pts	—	No
90%	83.4–90.3	78.4–85.3	1.93 pts	—	No
85%	83.8–89.9	78.6–84.6	0.78 pts	—	No
80%	84.2–89.5	78.8–84.3	0.18 pts	—	No
75%	84.4–89.3	79.0–84.1	— pts	—	No

Level	NY range	CON range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	83.2–91.0	78.0–86.3	3.08 pts	—	No
90%	83.8–90.4	78.4–85.7	1.83 pts	—	No
85%	84.3–90.0	78.5–85.3	1.09 pts	—	No
80%	84.6–89.7	78.7–85.0	0.41 pts	—	No
75%	84.8–89.4	78.8–84.2	— pts	—	No

Level	NY range	CON range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	84.4–90.5	77.9–86.2	1.83 pts	—	No
90%	84.6–90.3	78.2–85.3	0.69 pts	—	No
85%	84.9–89.9	78.6–84.7	— pts	—	No
80%	85.0–89.5	78.8–84.3	— pts	—	No
75%	85.2–89.2	79.1–84.2	— pts	—	No

Level	NY range	CON range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	83.6–90.7	78.0–85.5	1.89 pts	—	No
90%	84.1–90.3	78.4–85.2	1.06 pts	—	No
85%	84.6–89.4	78.5–84.5	— pts	—	No
80%	85.0–89.1	78.6–84.4	— pts	—	No
75%	85.3–88.8	78.8–84.3	— pts	—	No

Level	NY range	CON range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	84.4–91.1	78.1–86.5	2.05 pts	—	No
90%	84.6–90.4	78.3–85.5	0.91 pts	—	No
85%	84.9–90.1	78.4–85.2	0.27 pts	—	No
80%	85.1–89.5	78.7–84.8	— pts	—	No
75%	85.2–89.3	78.9–84.4	— pts	—	No

Level	NY range	CON range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	83.8–92.2	78.4–87.5	3.61 pts	—	No
90%	84.0–91.9	78.5–87.0	3.0 pts	—	No
85%	84.4–91.5	78.6–86.4	1.99 pts	—	No
80%	84.6–91.2	78.8–85.9	1.31 pts	—	No
75%	84.7–90.3	79.0–85.6	0.97 pts	—	No

Level	NY range	CON range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	82.6–92.5	78.3–87.2	4.61 pts	—	No
90%	83.4–91.7	78.7–86.4	3.0 pts	—	No
85%	83.9–91.2	79.0–85.6	1.7 pts	—	No
80%	84.3–90.8	79.2–85.3	0.93 pts	—	No
75%	84.7–90.5	79.3–85.1	0.41 pts	—	No

Level	NY range	CON range	Overlap	Tol Warning	Actual landed in range?
95%	84.2–93.3	78.9–89.1	4.89 pts	—	No
90%	84.7–92.7	79.0–88.3	3.64 pts	—	No
85%	84.8–92.5	79.2–88.1	3.29 pts	—	No
80%	84.8–91.6	79.5–87.4	2.55 pts	—	No
75%	85.0–91.4	79.6–86.9	1.88 pts	—	No

New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun